Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.091789 0.099029 0.106717 0.115514 0.125333 0.135992 0.148483
2024-10-20 0.077902 0.087582 0.098465 0.111703 0.127499 0.145907 0.169224
2024-10-27 0.069165 0.079994 0.092663 0.108764 0.128946 0.153773 0.187217
2024-11-03 0.066179 0.078468 0.093365 0.113063 0.138912 0.172397 0.220323
2024-11-10 0.064318 0.077938 0.094970 0.118310 0.150255 0.193707 0.259672
2024-11-17 0.060855 0.074989 0.093097 0.118624 0.154768 0.205946 0.287620
2024-11-24 0.057157 0.071403 0.090020 0.116890 0.156043 0.213435 0.309148
2024-12-01 0.053713 0.067888 0.086735 0.114496 0.155983 0.218708 0.327614
2024-12-08 0.050304 0.064199 0.082937 0.111017 0.153893 0.220472 0.340238
2024-12-15 0.048193 0.062151 0.081267 0.110458 0.156102 0.229137 0.365943
2024-12-22 0.045967 0.059811 0.079025 0.108845 0.156451 0.234678 0.386670
2024-12-29 0.044685 0.058723 0.078497 0.109754 0.160851 0.247434 0.423080
2025-01-05 0.042041 0.055677 0.075105 0.106262 0.158163 0.248310 0.437780
2025-01-12 0.039640 0.052889 0.071977 0.103023 0.155704 0.249486 0.453800
2025-01-19 0.037603 0.050532 0.069363 0.100415 0.154076 0.251978 0.473192
2025-01-26 0.037340 0.050771 0.070683 0.104271 0.164115 0.277954 0.552061
2025-02-02 0.037272 0.051284 0.072438 0.108964 0.176161 0.309827 0.655106
2025-02-09 0.036214 0.050231 0.071653 0.109245 0.179958 0.325143 0.719935
2025-02-16 0.034841 0.048627 0.069898 0.107696 0.180052 0.332414 0.764452
2025-02-23 0.033438 0.046918 0.067887 0.105554 0.178770 0.336414 0.800586
2025-03-02 0.031927 0.044982 0.065419 0.102439 0.175263 0.334841 0.819121
2025-03-09 0.031022 0.043969 0.064424 0.101938 0.177047 0.346010 0.882906
2025-03-16 0.029990 0.042713 0.062967 0.100492 0.176726 0.352033 0.931431